AUGUST 2014
DATE EVENT FOR ACTUAL FORECAST PRIOR ORIGINAL
Aug 1 Nonfarm Payrolls Jul 209K 250K 298K -
Aug 1 Nonfarm Private Payrolls Jul 198K 240K 270K -
Aug 1 Unemployment Rate Jul 6.2% 6.1% 6.1% -
Aug 1 Hourly Earnings Jul 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% -
Aug 1 Average Workweek Jul 34.5 34.5 34.5 -
Aug 1 Personal Income Jun 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% -
Aug 1 Personal Spending Jun 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% -
Aug 1 PCE Prices - Core Jun 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% -
Aug 1 Michigan Sentiment - Final Jul 81.8 82.5 81.3 -
Aug 1 ISM Index Jul 57.1 56.0 55.3 -
Aug 1 Construction Spending Jun -1.8% -0.5% 0.8% -
Aug 1 Auto Sales Jul - NA 5.9M -
Aug 1 Truck Sales Jul - NA 7.5M -
Aug 5 Factory Orders Jun 1.1% 0.4% -0.6% -
Aug 5 ISM Services Jul 58.7 56.5 56.0 -
Aug 6 MBA Mortgage Index 08/02 1.6% NA -2.2% -
Aug 6 Trade Balance Jun -$41.5B -$45.1B -$44.7B -
Aug 6 Crude Inventories 08/02 -1.756M NA -3.697M -
Aug 7 Initial Claims 08/02 289K 310K 303K -
Aug 7 Continuing Claims 07/26 2518K 2525K 2542K -
Aug 7 Natural Gas Inventories 08/02 82 bcf NA 88 bcf -
Aug 7 Consumer Credit Jun $17.3B $15.0B $19.6B -
Aug 8 Productivity-Prel Q2 2.5% 2.0% -4.5% -
Aug 8 Unit Labor Costs Q2 0.6% 2.0% 11.8% -
Aug 8 Wholesale Inventories Jun 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% -
Aug 12 JOLTS - Job Openings Jun 4.671M NA 4.577M -
Aug 12 Treasury Budget Jul -$94.6B -$96.0B -$97.6B -
Aug 13 MBA Mortgage Index 08/09 -2.7% NA 1.6% -
Aug 13 Retail Sales Jul 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% -
Aug 13 Retail Sales ex-auto Jul 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% -
Aug 13 Business Inventories Jun 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% -
Aug 13 Crude Inventories 08/09 1.401M NA -1.756M -
Aug 14 Initial Claims 08/09 311K 310K 290K -
Aug 14 Continuing Claims 08/02 2544K 2525K 2519K -
Aug 14 Export Prices ex-ag. Jul 0.3% NA -0.3% -
Aug 14 Import Prices ex-oil Jul 0.0% NA -0.1% -
Aug 14 Natural Gas Inventories 08/09 78 bcf NA 82 bcf -
Aug 15 PPI Jul 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% -
Aug 15 Core PPI Jul 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% -
Aug 15 Empire Manufacturing Aug 14.7 15.0 25.6 -
Aug 15 Net Long-Term TIC Flows Jun -$18.7B NA $18.6B -
Aug 15 Industrial Production Jul 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% -
Aug 15 Capacity Utilization Jul 79.2% 79.5% 79.1% -
Aug 15 Mich Sentiment Aug 79.2 79.0 81.8 -
Aug 18 NAHB Housing Market Index Aug 55 50 53 -
Aug 19 CPI Jul 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% -
Aug 19 Core CPI Jul 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -
Aug 19 Housing Starts Jul 1093K 925K 945K -
Aug 19 Building Permits Jul 1052K 975K 973K -
Aug 20 MBA Mortgage Index 08/16 1.4% NA -2.7% -
Aug 20 Crude Inventories 08/16 -4.474M NA 1.401M -
Aug 20 FOMC Minutes 7/30 - - - -
Aug 21 Initial Claims 08/16 298K 315K 312K -
Aug 21 Continuing Claims 08/09 2500K 2530K 2549K -
Aug 21 Existing Home Sales Jul 5.15M 4.90M 5.03M -
Aug 21 Philadelphia Fed Aug 28.0 15.0 23.9 -
Aug 21 Leading Indicators Jul 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% -
Aug 21 Natural Gas Inventories 08/16 88 bcf NA 78 bcf -
Aug 25 New Home Sales Jul 412K 415K 422K -
Aug 26 Durable Orders Jul 22.6% 12.6% 2.7% -
Aug 26 Durable Goods -ex transportation Jul -0.8% 1.0% 3.0% -
Aug 26 Case-Shiller 20-city Index Jun 8.1% 8.5% 9.4% -
Aug 26 FHFA Housing Price Index Jun 0.4% NA 0.2% -
Aug 26 Consumer Confidence Aug 92.4 88.0 90.3 -
Aug 27 MBA Mortgage Index 08/23 2.8% NA 1.4% -
Aug 27 Crude Inventories 08/23 -2.070M NA -4.474M -
Aug 28 Initial Claims 08/23 298K 315K 299K -
Aug 28 Continuing Claims 08/16 2527K 2525K 2502K -
Aug 28 GDP - Second Estimate Q2 4.2% 4.0% 4.0% -
Aug 28 GDP Deflator - Second Estimate Q2 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% -
Aug 28 Pending Home Sales Jul 3.3% 0.5% -1.3% -
Aug 28 Natural Gas Inventories 08/23 75 bcf NA 88 bcf -
Aug 29 Personal Income Jul 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% -
Aug 29 Personal Spending Jul -0.1% 0.1% 0.4% -
Aug 29 PCE Prices - Core Jul 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -
Aug 29 Chicago PMI Aug 64.3 53.0 52.6 -
Aug 29 Michigan Sentiment - Final Aug 82.5 80.0 79.2 -
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